2011 Tony Award Predictions

It’s Tony Awards Sunday.  Which means it’s time for predictions. Although the Beat by Beat team tries hard to see as many Broadway shows as possible throughout the year, ultimately we’re limited by the amount of free and discounted tickets we can wrangle.  (You’ve gotta be in an industry other than children’s theatre to be able to afford $120 a pop!) So our predictions are pretty much 40% based on what we’ve seen, 40% based on what we’ve read and who we’ve talked to, and 20% based on pure educated guess. Before we get to the predictions, here are some links you might find useful throughout the evening: New York Magazine’s Live Blog (recommended) Complete List of Nominees BroadwayWorld.com Coverage Playbill.com Live Tony Blog And now, the official Beat by Beat predictions! BEST PLAY Good People Jerusalem The Motherf**ker with the Hat War Horse DENVER PREDICTION:  War Horse LINDA PREDICTION:  Jerusalem BEST MUSICAL The Book of Mormon Catch Me If You Can The Scottsboro Boys Sister Act PREDICTION:  The Book of Mormon BEST BOOK OF A MUSICAL Alex Timbers (Bloody, Bloody, Andrew Jackson) Trey Parker, Robert Lopez and Matt Stone (The Book of Mormon) David Thompson (The Scottsboro Boys) Chris Steinkellner, Bill Steinkellner and Douglas Carter Beane, Sister Act. PREDICTION:  The Book of Mormon BEST ORIGINAL SCORE OF A MUSICAL The Book of Mormon (Trey Parker, Robert Lopez and Matt Stone) The Scottsboro Boys (John Kander and Fred Ebb) Sister Act (Alan Menken and Glenn Slater) Women on the Verge of a Nervous Breakdown PREDICTION: The Book of Mormon BEST REVIVAL OF A PLAY Arcadia The Importance of Being Earnest The Merchant of Venice The Normal Heart PREDICTION:  The Normal Heart BEST REVIVAL OF A MUSICAL Anything Goes How To Succeed In Business Without Really Trying PREDICTION:  How To Succeed In Business Without Really Trying BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE IN A PLAY Brian Bedford (Importance of . . . ) Bobby Cannavale (The MF with the Hat) Joe Mantello (Normal Heart) Al Pacino (Merchant of Venice) Mary Rylance (Jersualeum) PREDICTION:  Actor/Director Joe Mantello (The Normal Heart) BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE IN A PLAY Nina Arianda (Born Yesterday) Frances McDormand (Good People) Lily Rabe (The Merchant of Venice) Vanessa Redgrave (Driving Miss Daisy) Hannah Yelland (Brief Encounter) DENVER PREDICTION:  Frances McDormand (Good People) LINDA PREDICTION: Vanessa Redgrave (Driving Miss Daisy) BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE IN A MUSICAL Norbert Butz (Catch Me If You Can) Josh Gad (The Book of Mormon) Joshua Henry (The Scottsboro Boys) Andrew Rannells (Book of Mormon) Tony Sheldon (Priscilla Queen of the Desert) PREDICTION:  Josh Gad BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE IN A MUSICAL Sutton Foster (Anything Goes) Beth Leavel (Baby It’s You!) Patina Miller (Sister Act) Donna Murphy (The People in the Picture) PREDICTION: Sutton Foster BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A FEATURED ROLE IN A PLAY Mackenzie Crook (Jerusaleum) Billy Crudup (Arcadia) John Benjamin Hickey (The Normal Heart) Arian Moayed (Bengal Tiger at the Baghdad Zoo) Yul Vazquez (The MF with the Hat) PREDICTION: John Benjamin Hickey BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A FEATURED ROLE IN A PLAY Ellen Barkin (The Normal Heart) Edie Falco (The House of Blue Leaves) Judith Light (Lombardi) Joanna Lumley (La Bête) Elizabeth Rodriguez (The MF with the Hat) PREDICTION:  Ellen Barkin BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A FEATURED ROLE IN A MUSICAL Colman Domingo (The Scottsboro Boys) Adam Godley (Anything Goes) John Larroquette (How To Succeed . . . ) Forrest McClendon (Scottsboro Boys) Rory O’Malley (The Book of Mormon) PREDICTION: Rory O’Malley (The Book of Mormon) BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A FEATURED ROLE IN A MUSICAL Laura Benanti (Women on the Verge . . .) Tammy Blanchard (How to Succeed . . . ) Victoria Clark (Sister Act) Nikki M. James (Book of Mormon) Patti Lupone (Women on the Verge . . .) PREDICTION:  Laura Benanti BEST DIRECTION OF A PLAY Marianne Elliot & Tom Morris (War Horse) Joel Grey & George C. Wolfe (Normal Heart) Anna D. Shapiro (The MF with the Hat) Daniel Sullivan (Merchant of Venice) PREDICTION:  Marianne Elliot & Tom Morris (War Horse) BEST DIRECTION OF A MUSICAL Rob Ashford (How to Succeed . . . ) Kathleen Marshall (Anything Goes) Casey Nicholaw & Trey Parker (Book of Mormon) Susan Stroman (Scottsboro Boys) PREDICTION:  Casey Nicholaw & Trey Parker BEST CHOREOGRAPHY Nominees:  Rob Ashford (How to Succeed . . . ) Kathleen Marshall (Anything Goes) Casey Nicholaw (Book of Mormon) Susan Stroman (Scottsboro Boys) PREDICTION:  Kathleen Marshall (Anything Goes) BEST ORCHESTRATIONS Doug Besterman (How to Succeed . . . ) Larry Hochman (Scottsboro Boys) Larry Hochman and Stephen Oremus (Book of Mormon) Marc Shaiman & Larry Blank (Catch Me If You Can) PREDICTION:  Larry Hochman & Stephen Oremus (Book of Mormon) BEST SCENIC DESIGN OF A PLAY Todd Rosenthal (The MF with the Hat) Rae Smith (War Horse) Ultz (Jersualem) Mark Wendland (Merchant of Venice) PREDICTION:  Rae Smith (War Horse) BEST SCENIC DESIGN OF A MUSICAL Beowulf Boritt (Scottsboro Boys) Derek McLane (Anything Goes) Scott Pask (The Book of Mormon) Donyale Werle (Bloody, Bloody, Andrew Jackson) PREDICTION:  Scott Pask (The Book of Mormon) BEST COSTUME DESIGN OF A PLAY Jess Goldstein (Merchant of Venice) Desmond Heeley (Importance of . . . ) Mark Thompson (La Bete) Catherine Zuber (Born Yesterday) PREDICTION:  Desmond Heeley (Importance of . . . ) BEST COSTUME DESIGN OF A MUSICAL Tim Chappel & Lizzy Gardiner (Priscilla . . . ) Martin Pakledinaz (Anything Goes) Ann Roth (Book of Mormon) Catherine Zuber (How to Succeed . . .). . . PREDICTION:  Tim Chappel & Lizzy Gardiner (Priscilla . . . ) BEST LIGHTING DESIGN OF A PLAY Paule Constable (War Horse) David Lander (Bengal Tiger . . .) Kenneth Posner (Merchant of Venice) Mimi Jordan Sherin (Jerusalem) PREDICTION:  Paule Constable (War Horse) BEST LIGHTING DESIGN OF A MUSICAL Ken Billington (The Scottsboro Boys) Howell Binkley (How to Succeed . . . ) Peter Kaczorowski (Anything Goes) Brian MacDevitt (Book of Mormon) PREDICTION:  Brian MacDevitt (Book of Mormon) BEST SOUND DESIGN OF A PLAY Acme Sound Partners & Cricket S. Myers (Bengal Tiger . . . ) Simon Baker (Brief Encounter) Ian Dickinson for Autograph (Jerusalem) Christopher Shutt (War Horse) PREDICTION:  Christopher Shutt (War Horse) BEST SOUND DESIGN OF A MUSICAL Peter Hylenski (The Scottsboro Boys) Steve Canyon Kennedy (Catch Me If You Can) Brian Ronan (Anything Goes) Brian Ronan (Book of Mormon) PREDICTION:  Brian Ronan (Book of Mormon) If you enjoyed this post, “Like” our Facebook Page to the right to be updated on our latest blog entries. Beat by Beat Press is a new publisher of fresh and exciting musicals for young performers, written by critically acclaimed NYC writers.  To order a FREE perusal of one of our hit shows, visit our website at www.bbbpress.com.

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